Honduras
Ξ June 29th, 2009 | → 0 Comments | ∇ Politics |
Until about a week ago, I hadn’t bothered to pay attention to what was happening in Honduras. I just can’t keep up with the internal politics of every nation. I’d heard the rumors about the military posturing to evict President Zelaya, but until something actually happens I generally don’t get interested. Well, something happened and it’s become a big bruhaha in the Western Hemisphere. Here’s some background on the regional context:
- In the Latin American world, currently, there is a Cuban/Venezuelan movement, largely spearheaded by Hugo Chavez of Venezuela. It’s called “Bolivarian” by it’s supporters, and is largely leftist/populist/anti-American in nature.
- This movement counts as supporters the leaders of Ecuador, Bolivia, Nicaragua and, until this week, Honduras.
- Not that it’s really important to what is going on in Honduras, this movement isn’t universally popular. Bolivia is on the cusp of a civil war and Nicaragua’s leader was elected with only about 30% of the vote (his opponents splintered the vote).
- Again, not directly related, but not all “left” leaders in Latin America are members of this movement. The most powerful leader, Brazil’s Lula da Silva, considers Brazil the preeminent regional power, is very tied into the global marketplace, and isn’t any too fond of Chavez and his agenda.
- While Chavez is technically democratically elected, he has gone to lengths to limit the ability of dissenters to communicate and organize. He’s routinely shut down non-pro-Chavez TV stations.
- When Chavez isn’t able to use the legal and bureaucratic framework that exists to achieve his goals, he foments a “popular demand” for change to justify what would otherwise be characterized as a power-grab. The key to Chavez’s power structure is a elaborate grass-roots organization that can quickly mobilize a large number of supporters on short notice.
With that background, here’s a brief narrative of what happened in Honduras that doesn’t seem to be making it to the regular news:
- Zelaya wanted an addition term as President
- This isn’t allowed by the Honduras constitution.
- Zelaya then announced he was going to put forward a popular referendum as to whether or not to amend the constitution to allow him to serve another term. (The ballots were reportedly being imported from Venezuela)
- Under the Honduras constitution, that isn’t a permissible way to amend the constitution. It must go through their legislative branch.
- The Honduras Supreme Court said that, and told the President he couldn’t do it.
- The Honduran congress said he couldn’t do it.
- The Honduran Attorney General said he couldn’t do it.
- Zelaya ordered the military to carry out the referendum.
- The military said that was illegal, and it wouldn’t do it.
- Zelaya fired the top general.
- The Honduras Supreme Court said the firing was illegal and ordered Zelaya to reinstate the general.
- Zelaya said no.
- The Honduras Supreme Court said the Zelaya was overstepping his bounds, and asked the military to remove the President.
- Military complies, exiling Zelaya.
- Honduran congress appoints Roberto Micheletti as interim President.
- Micheletti was head of the Congress and member of Zelaya’s party.
On a American politics note, it’s interesting how quickly Obama condemned the ouster of Zelaya, but didn’t want to say anything about the Iranian elections for a week, lest he be seen as interfering. I mean, I sort of get it if Obama was invoking the Monroe Doctrine, but that doesn’t really fit Obama’s modus operandi.